Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Deck Wins | latorretta | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | yukiro | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | kakashi_ | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | csalles | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
| Red Deck Wins | kollslaw | 5-0 | 1st in MTGO Standard League #8949 |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Big Red , Boros Burn , Goblins , Gruul Aggro , Gruul Counters , Gruul Forge , Gruul Leyline , Gruul Midrange , Izzet Aggro
Meta Performance Analysis
Lightning Strike ranks #165 out of approximately 339 cards in raw efficiency (top 49%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 57.0%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Lightning Strike is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 16.74 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 69.7%. Lightning Strike has a win rate of 68.2%, making it 2.1% worse than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demonic Ruckus | Enchantment — Aura | 5 | 66.4% | 1 |
| Tersa Lightshatter | Legendary Creature — Orc Wizard | 30 | 66.2% | 9 |
| Dive Down | Instant | 10 | 65.7% | 2 |
| Sleight of Hand | Sorcery | 10 | 63.9% | 4 |
| Soul-Guide Lantern | Artifact | 37 | 63.4% | 14 |
| Magebane Lizard | Creature — Lizard | 22 | 63.3% | 3 |
| Invasion of Tarkir | Battle — Siege | 6 | 63.2% | 0 |
| Stock Up | Sorcery | 17 | 63.2% | 5 |
| Bushwhack | Sorcery | 36 | 63.0% | 7 |
| Cori-Steel Cutter | Artifact — Equipment | 17 | 62.5% | 6 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Lightning Strike than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spell Pierce | Instant | 1 | 7 | 94.6% | 70.4% | +24.2% |
| Soul-Guide Lantern | Artifact | 1 | 6 | 84.4% | 68.7% | +15.7% |
| Stock Up | Sorcery | 3 | 7 | 85.2% | 70.0% | +15.2% |
| Stormchaser's Talent | Enchantment — Class | 1 | 8 | 81.8% | 69.8% | +12.0% |
| Slickshot Show-Off | Creature — Bird Wizard | 2 | 8 | 81.8% | 72.7% | +9.1% |
| Sleight of Hand | Sorcery | 1 | 7 | 81.8% | 73.7% | +8.1% |
| Cori-Steel Cutter | Artifact — Equipment | 2 | 17 | 75.8% | 72.3% | +3.5% |
| Shock | Instant | 1 | 9 | 76.4% | 74.1% | +2.2% |
| Monastery Swiftspear | Creature — Human Monk | 1 | 41 | 73.9% | 72.1% | +1.7% |
| Case of the Crimson Pulse | Enchantment — Case | 3 | 51 | 69.9% | 69.2% | +0.7% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Red Deck Wins | 1126 | 83.4% | 52.6% |
| Gruul Aggro | 321 | 15.6% | 48.8% |
| Boros Burn | 55 | 14.1% | 27.3% |
| Izzet Spellslingers | 17 | 17.9% | 67.1% |
| Unknown Archetype | 13 | 4.1% | 22.7% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.